Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Bonino 48.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 85.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 68.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Henrique
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Henrique
Bonino
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
1
Henrique
Bonino
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Henrique
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
48.1% (324)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
57.9% (38)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
44.3% (88)
-1.6%
On even strength, Henrique has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bonino
Home
53.1% (339)
52.0% (244)
Away
49.1% (330)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Henrique
Bonino
P1
48.5%
48.0%
P2
48.6%
42.9%
P3
54.2%
53.9%
OT
70.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |