Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Bonino 50.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 69.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 62.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Henrique
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Henrique
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
51.8% (305)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
48.5% (101)
-1.0%
On even strength, Henrique has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bonino
Home
56.4% (553)
53.1% (177)
Away
50.0% (530)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Henrique
Bonino
P1
51.7%
55.9%
P2
55.5%
49.6%
P3
52.5%
47.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |