Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Foligno 46.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 65.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 52.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Henrique
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Foligno
Last 8: Henrique 3-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Henrique
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Henrique
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
46.3% (566)
+1.5%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
43.4% (106)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
46.4% (69)
-5.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Henrique is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Henrique shoots left. Foligno is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Henrique
Foligno
Home
50.0% (506)
48.9% (364)
Away
46.4% (549)
43.0% (377)
By Period
Henrique
Foligno
P1
47.6%
48.7%
P2
50.1%
46.9%
P3
47.9%
44.0%
OT
23.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |