Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Foligno 48.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 64.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Henrique
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Henrique
Foligno
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
6
Henrique
Foligno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
3
Henrique
Foligno
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
5
Henrique
Foligno
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
48.3% (2,810)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
52.3% (730)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
44.0% (455)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Henrique
Foligno
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Henrique
Foligno
P1
50.6%
47.6%
P2
51.4%
50.4%
P3
50.2%
48.3%
OT
40.6%
29.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |