Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 52.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Foligno 52.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 62.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 81.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 60.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Henrique
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Henrique
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
53.4% (249)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
53.2% (154)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
40.6% (32)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Henrique
Foligno
Home
56.4% (553)
57.3% (225)
Away
50.0% (530)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Henrique
Foligno
P1
51.7%
53.0%
P2
55.5%
51.8%
P3
52.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
55.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |