Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 69.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 55.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Henrique
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Schmaltz
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
3
Henrique
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
39.5% (658)
+8.3%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
41.3% (92)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
45.1% (51)
-4.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Henrique is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Henrique shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Henrique
Schmaltz
Home
50.0% (506)
40.8% (424)
Away
46.4% (549)
39.3% (377)
By Period
Henrique
Schmaltz
P1
47.6%
38.4%
P2
50.1%
40.7%
P3
47.9%
41.0%
OT
23.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |