Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 88.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 74.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 59.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Henrique
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Henrique
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Henrique
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
48.1% (268)
+9.4%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.5% (91)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
58.8% (17)
-13.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Henrique
Schmaltz
Home
56.4% (518)
49.0% (206)
Away
54.9% (492)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Henrique
Schmaltz
P1
56.0%
53.6%
P2
55.2%
46.2%
P3
56.2%
50.4%
OT
0.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |