Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 29-18 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 73.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 96.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 92.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Henrique
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
18
(47 meetings)
29
18
Henrique
Schmaltz
Last 10: Henrique 8-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
6
10
Henrique
Schmaltz
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
17
1
Henrique
Schmaltz
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
6
7
Henrique
Schmaltz
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
41.2% (3,399)
+9.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
47.1% (649)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
47.8% (134)
-1.6%
On even strength, Henrique has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Henrique
Schmaltz
Home
52.5% (6,418)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Henrique
Schmaltz
P1
50.6%
41.1%
P2
51.4%
42.9%
P3
50.2%
43.0%
OT
40.6%
42.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |