Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Schmaltz 44.1% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 63.2%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 52.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 60.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Henrique
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Henrique
Schmaltz
Last 7: Henrique 3-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Henrique
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Henrique
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
41.7% (338)
+11.8%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
47.1% (34)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
75.0% (4)
-24.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Henrique is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Schmaltz is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Henrique
Schmaltz
Home
57.4% (467)
48.2% (166)
Away
52.7% (463)
38.1% (210)
By Period
Henrique
Schmaltz
P1
55.4%
42.1%
P2
56.7%
45.8%
P3
54.0%
41.4%
OT
22.2%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |