Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Stastny 54.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 76.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 73.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 76.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Henrique
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Henrique
Stastny
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Henrique
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Henrique
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
54.8% (1,130)
-7.0%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
59.1% (235)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
49.3% (150)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Henrique is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Henrique shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stastny
Home
50.0% (506)
55.5% (803)
Away
46.4% (549)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Henrique
Stastny
P1
47.6%
57.4%
P2
50.1%
52.5%
P3
47.9%
54.3%
OT
23.5%
69.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |