Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 24-20 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 59.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 59.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Henrique
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
24
(44 meetings)
20
24
Henrique
Stastny
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
13
9
Henrique
Stastny
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
6
Henrique
Stastny
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
9
Henrique
Stastny
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,465)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.9%
Power Play
54.5% (1,760)
59.1% (1,994)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,794)
52.9% (1,119)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,431).
Henrique shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stastny
Home
52.5% (6,376)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.8% (6,666)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Henrique
Stastny
P1
50.6%
56.3%
P2
51.4%
55.4%
P3
50.2%
53.5%
OT
40.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
50.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2020 | OT | 01:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |