Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Stastny 56.3% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 58.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Henrique
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
57.5% (412)
-5.6%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
60.0% (65)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
44.4% (9)
-1.7%
On even strength, Stastny has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stastny
Home
53.1% (339)
58.3% (276)
Away
49.1% (330)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Henrique
Stastny
P1
48.5%
63.7%
P2
48.6%
57.3%
P3
54.2%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%