Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 54.8%). Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Thomas 54.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 59.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 72.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 59.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Henrique
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Henrique
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
55.3% (990)
+2.2%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
54.2% (190)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
52.5% (158)
-7.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thomas
Home
56.4% (518)
55.1% (690)
Away
54.9% (492)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Henrique
Thomas
P1
56.0%
55.5%
P2
55.2%
56.4%
P3
56.2%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |