Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Thomas 51.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 18-18 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 52.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Henrique
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
18
(36 meetings)
18
18
Henrique
Thomas
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
8
Henrique
Thomas
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
6
8
Henrique
Thomas
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
2
Henrique
Thomas
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
51.1% (5,350)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
55.8% (921)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
49.9% (691)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thomas
Home
52.5% (6,418)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Henrique
Thomas
P1
50.6%
50.6%
P2
51.4%
52.9%
P3
50.2%
50.8%
OT
40.6%
59.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |