Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.5%). Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Couturier 53.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 59.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 63.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Henrique
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Henrique
Couturier
Last 9: Henrique 4-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Henrique
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Henrique
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
53.8% (1,003)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
56.4% (202)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
42.7% (89)
+4.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Henrique
Couturier
Home
56.4% (553)
54.4% (680)
Away
50.0% (530)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Henrique
Couturier
P1
51.7%
56.3%
P2
55.5%
51.8%
P3
52.5%
52.2%
OT
66.7%
60.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |