Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Couturier 53.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 54.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 52.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Henrique
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Henrique
Couturier
Last 9: Henrique 5-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Henrique
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Henrique
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
53.4% (758)
+2.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
62.9% (70)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
50.7% (227)
+0.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Henrique
Couturier
Home
53.5% (215)
50.7% (517)
Away
55.2% (306)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Henrique
Couturier
P1
57.7%
55.2%
P2
53.8%
53.0%
P3
51.6%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |