Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 58.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Henrique
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Henrique
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Henrique
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
48.5% (778)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
63.4% (191)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
50.8% (65)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Henrique
Aho
Home
53.1% (339)
51.3% (530)
Away
49.1% (330)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Henrique
Aho
P1
48.5%
50.0%
P2
48.6%
51.3%
P3
54.2%
52.1%
OT
70.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |