Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Aho 51.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 22-22 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 65.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 68.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Henrique
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
22
(44 meetings)
22
22
Henrique
Aho
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
5
13
Henrique
Aho
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
8
3
Henrique
Aho
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
9
6
Henrique
Aho
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
50.1% (6,619)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
58.9% (1,310)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
46.3% (464)
-0.1%
On power play, Aho has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Henrique
Aho
Home
52.5% (6,418)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Henrique
Aho
P1
50.6%
51.1%
P2
51.4%
52.0%
P3
50.2%
50.7%
OT
40.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |