Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Wright 41.4% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 64.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 85.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 70.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Henrique
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Henrique
Wright
Last 9: Henrique 5-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Henrique
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
39.5% (453)
+16.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
42.4% (59)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
0.0% (1)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Henrique
Wright
Home
53.5% (215)
39.5% (286)
Away
55.2% (306)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Henrique
Wright
P1
57.7%
39.9%
P2
53.8%
37.1%
P3
51.6%
42.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |