Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Wright 43.3% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 76.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 72.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Henrique
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Henrique
Wright
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
3
6
Henrique
Wright
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
3
Henrique
Wright
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
42.6% (1,318)
+8.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
45.8% (131)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
33.3% (6)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Henrique
Wright
Home
52.5% (6,418)
44.2% (746)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Henrique
Wright
P1
50.6%
44.4%
P2
51.4%
40.7%
P3
50.2%
44.0%
OT
40.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |