Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Thompson 44.0% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 68.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 75.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 76.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Henrique
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Henrique
Thompson
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Henrique
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
44.6% (709)
+10.8%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
41.5% (53)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
35.1% (97)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thompson
Home
56.4% (553)
45.5% (426)
Away
50.0% (530)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Henrique
Thompson
P1
51.7%
48.5%
P2
55.5%
43.8%
P3
52.5%
38.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |