Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Thompson 43.7% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 72.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 73.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Henrique
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Henrique
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
41.9% (597)
+15.6%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.5% (95)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
25.0% (12)
+20.5%
On power play, Henrique has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thompson
Home
56.4% (518)
47.1% (367)
Away
54.9% (492)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Henrique
Thompson
P1
56.0%
44.2%
P2
55.2%
41.6%
P3
56.2%
42.9%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |