Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 49.7%). Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Johnson 49.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 26-18 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 64.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 54.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 59.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Henrique
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
26
(44 meetings)
18
26
Henrique
Johnson
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
10
Henrique
Johnson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
10
7
Henrique
Johnson
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
5
9
Henrique
Johnson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
49.8% (5,396)
+1.0%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
54.6% (885)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
42.3% (707)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johnson
Home
52.5% (6,418)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Henrique
Johnson
P1
50.6%
50.1%
P2
51.4%
50.6%
P3
50.2%
48.4%
OT
40.6%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |