Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Johnson 45.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 54.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Henrique
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
44.6% (285)
+10.8%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
46.7% (60)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
16.7% (6)
+30.8%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johnson
Home
56.4% (553)
50.8% (179)
Away
50.0% (530)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Henrique
Johnson
P1
51.7%
41.3%
P2
55.5%
41.8%
P3
52.5%
49.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |