Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Johnson 53.6% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 51.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 57.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Henrique
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
61.9% (42)
-7.5%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
55.6% (9)
+3.7%
On even strength, Johnson has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johnson
Home
55.3% (237)
52.0% (25)
Away
55.8% (260)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Henrique
Johnson
P1
53.5%
72.0%
P2
64.8%
66.7%
P3
47.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%