Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.6%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 63.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 65.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Henrique
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Henrique
Seguin
Last 5: Henrique 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Henrique
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (433)
53.2% (201)
+2.7%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
60.0% (25)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (148)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Henrique is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Henrique shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Henrique
Seguin
Home
52.7% (256)
56.3% (126)
Away
55.0% (349)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Henrique
Seguin
P1
55.9%
44.3%
P2
53.0%
52.1%
P3
53.0%
62.5%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
51.5%
54.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |