Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 35-29 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 51.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Henrique
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
35
(64 meetings)
29
35
Henrique
Seguin
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
14
16
Henrique
Seguin
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
7
12
Henrique
Seguin
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
8
7
Henrique
Seguin
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
55.9% (810)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
49.3% (762)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Henrique
Seguin
Home
52.5% (6,418)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Henrique
Seguin
P1
50.6%
52.8%
P2
51.4%
53.3%
P3
50.2%
54.7%
OT
40.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 6, 2023 | OT | 00:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |