Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 55.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Henrique
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Henrique
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
56.9% (478)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
57.4% (54)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
51.3% (76)
-3.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Henrique
Seguin
Home
56.4% (553)
57.4% (317)
Away
50.0% (530)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Henrique
Seguin
P1
51.7%
50.3%
P2
55.5%
60.4%
P3
52.5%
58.0%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |