Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Seguin 54.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 81.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 64.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Henrique
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Henrique
Seguin
Last 8: Henrique 6-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
1
Henrique
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
55.1% (1,036)
-7.3%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
56.9% (174)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
52.2% (230)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Henrique is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Henrique shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Henrique
Seguin
Home
50.0% (506)
58.9% (703)
Away
46.4% (549)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Henrique
Seguin
P1
47.6%
54.5%
P2
50.1%
53.7%
P3
47.9%
57.0%
OT
23.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |