Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 55.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 82.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 80.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Last 9: Henrique 6-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
2
3
Henrique
Ostapchuk
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
48.3% (271)
+9.2%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
25.0% (4)
+48.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
71.4% (7)
-25.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Home
56.4% (518)
49.3% (140)
Away
54.9% (492)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Henrique
Ostapchuk
P1
56.0%
49.1%
P2
55.2%
48.9%
P3
56.2%
47.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |