Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 64.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.5%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 59.1%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Henrique
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
51.7% (300)
+4.4%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
33.3% (3)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
43.6% (55)
+7.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Home
53.5% (215)
49.1% (161)
Away
55.2% (306)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Henrique
Ostapchuk
P1
57.7%
50.0%
P2
53.8%
45.7%
P3
51.6%
55.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |