Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.3%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Lowry wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Barkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Barkov 54.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 88.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Lowry
Barkov
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lowry
Barkov
Last 8: Lowry 6-2 Barkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
0
1
Lowry
Barkov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
0
Lowry
Barkov
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
0
1
Lowry
Barkov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Barkov
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
52.6% (851)
+3.6%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
60.8% (286)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
47.0% (66)
-3.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barkov shoots left. Lowry is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Lowry shoots left. Barkov is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Home / Away
Lowry
Barkov
Home
57.8% (341)
54.4% (653)
Away
49.4% (308)
54.2% (550)
By Period
Lowry
Barkov
P1
53.2%
52.7%
P2
54.4%
57.6%
P3
53.0%
53.2%
OT
80.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |