Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Barkov 54.5% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 54.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Lowry
Barkov
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lowry
Barkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
0
2
Lowry
Barkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Barkov
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
53.1% (863)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
63.4% (276)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
50.8% (193)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barkov shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Lowry
Barkov
Home
52.4% (597)
58.1% (627)
Away
48.4% (583)
52.1% (705)
By Period
Lowry
Barkov
P1
48.5%
53.3%
P2
52.2%
55.0%
P3
50.5%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |