Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Jenner 54.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 65.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Lowry
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Lowry
Jenner
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
5
Lowry
Jenner
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Jenner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Jenner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
54.2% (999)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
60.0% (240)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
49.7% (147)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jenner
Home
52.4% (597)
56.7% (693)
Away
48.4% (583)
52.7% (693)
By Period
Lowry
Jenner
P1
48.5%
57.1%
P2
52.2%
54.1%
P3
50.5%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |