Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Jenner 53.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 62.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Lowry
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lowry
Jenner
Last 9: Lowry 4-5 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
0
4
Lowry
Jenner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Jenner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Jenner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
54.5% (775)
-5.2%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
59.1% (198)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
46.4% (140)
-3.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jenner
Home
50.2% (671)
52.9% (512)
Away
47.8% (709)
55.4% (601)
By Period
Lowry
Jenner
P1
48.4%
55.0%
P2
50.1%
54.5%
P3
47.8%
53.6%
OT
66.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |