Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Point 47.1% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 60.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 79.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Lowry
Point
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Point
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Point
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Point
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Point
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Point
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
46.2% (435)
+9.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
49.5% (105)
+33.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
20.0% (5)
+20.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Lowry
Point
Home
54.5% (402)
46.9% (243)
Away
53.3% (368)
46.4% (302)
By Period
Lowry
Point
P1
52.4%
46.2%
P2
56.0%
45.9%
P3
54.2%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |