Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Point 48.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 25-23 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 78.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Lowry
Point
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
23
(48 meetings)
25
23
Lowry
Point
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
16
Lowry
Point
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
17
3
Lowry
Point
20 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Lowry
Point
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Point
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.3% (6,183)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
53.9% (1,043)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
38.5% (247)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Home / Away
Lowry
Point
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.1% (3,733)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.5% (3,740)
By Period
Lowry
Point
P1
51.5%
46.8%
P2
51.8%
51.4%
P3
51.4%
48.0%
OT
46.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2023 | OT | 01:06 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Brayden Point |