Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.7%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Point 50.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Point leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 80.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Lowry
Point
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Lowry
Point
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
0
4
Lowry
Point
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Point
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
2
Lowry
Point
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Point
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
49.9% (711)
+2.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
56.2% (105)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
50.0% (6)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Point has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Lowry
Point
Home
52.4% (597)
53.3% (394)
Away
48.4% (583)
48.4% (428)
By Period
Lowry
Point
P1
48.5%
49.8%
P2
52.2%
53.0%
P3
50.5%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |