Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Cizikas 52.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 60.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 76.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Lowry
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Cizikas
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Cizikas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
4
Lowry
Cizikas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Cizikas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
54.5% (685)
+4.5%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
50.0% (8)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
48.5% (198)
-3.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Lowry is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Lowry shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Lowry
Cizikas
Home
57.9% (330)
55.1% (448)
Away
54.0% (341)
51.0% (443)
By Period
Lowry
Cizikas
P1
55.8%
51.7%
P2
55.8%
53.1%
P3
56.1%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
62.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 11:22 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:24 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |