Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Cizikas 53.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 67.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 68.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 62.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Lowry
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lowry
Cizikas
Last 8: Lowry 5-3 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Lowry
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Cizikas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
56.4% (757)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
41.2% (17)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
40.6% (165)
-0.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Lowry
Cizikas
Home
52.4% (597)
55.0% (473)
Away
48.4% (583)
51.7% (466)
By Period
Lowry
Cizikas
P1
48.5%
54.9%
P2
52.2%
50.8%
P3
50.5%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |