Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Cizikas 52.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 75.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Lowry
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Lowry
Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Lowry
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Lowry
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Lowry
Cizikas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
53.7% (525)
-4.4%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
100.0% (1)
-32.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
51.7% (120)
-9.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Lowry
Cizikas
Home
50.2% (671)
58.6% (307)
Away
47.8% (709)
48.7% (339)
By Period
Lowry
Cizikas
P1
48.4%
56.7%
P2
50.1%
49.8%
P3
47.8%
53.8%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |