Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Cizikas 49.1% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 81.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Lowry
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Lowry
Cizikas
Last 7: Lowry 6-1 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Cizikas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Cizikas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Cizikas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
49.9% (815)
+8.7%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
60.0% (10)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
44.7% (188)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Cizikas is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Lowry
Cizikas
Home
61.0% (602)
49.3% (477)
Away
53.7% (514)
48.9% (536)
By Period
Lowry
Cizikas
P1
57.3%
49.3%
P2
58.1%
51.5%
P3
57.4%
45.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |