Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Mittelstadt 50.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 81.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Lowry
Mittelstadt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
50.4% (139)
+5.0%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
54.8% (31)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
100.0% (1)
-59.6%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +59.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Home
54.5% (402)
59.3% (91)
Away
53.3% (368)
42.5% (80)
By Period
Lowry
Mittelstadt
P1
52.4%
48.8%
P2
56.0%
49.1%
P3
54.2%
56.7%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |