Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Mittelstadt 47.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 79.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Last 9: Lowry 4-5 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
4
Lowry
Mittelstadt
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Mittelstadt
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
46.4% (935)
+2.9%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
50.3% (173)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
50.0% (16)
-7.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Home
50.2% (671)
47.7% (583)
Away
47.8% (709)
46.4% (541)
By Period
Lowry
Mittelstadt
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
50.1%
46.2%
P3
47.8%
45.5%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |