Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Mittelstadt 45.7% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 65.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Lowry
Mittelstadt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Mittelstadt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
45.9% (351)
+9.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
47.3% (74)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
22.2% (27)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Home
53.4% (515)
47.2% (193)
Away
52.6% (549)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Lowry
Mittelstadt
P1
54.2%
49.0%
P2
54.4%
45.7%
P3
50.8%
38.8%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | OT | 00:35 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |