Adam Lowry vs Chandler Stephenson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Stephenson 52.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Lowry
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Lowry
Stephenson
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
8
Lowry
Stephenson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Stephenson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Stephenson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
51.6% (829)
-2.3%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
62.7% (142)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
44.3% (79)
-1.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stephenson
Home
50.2% (671)
52.5% (499)
Away
47.8% (709)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Lowry
Stephenson
P1
48.4%
50.2%
P2
50.1%
55.7%
P3
47.8%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
63.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |