Adam Lowry vs Chandler Stephenson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.6%). Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Stephenson 51.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 62.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Lowry
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Lowry
Stephenson
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
4
Lowry
Stephenson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
4
Lowry
Stephenson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Stephenson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
51.2% (1,041)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
57.8% (211)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
47.7% (222)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stephenson
Home
53.0% (583)
52.2% (751)
Away
50.6% (605)
51.0% (723)
By Period
Lowry
Stephenson
P1
52.1%
50.4%
P2
51.8%
51.5%
P3
52.3%
53.3%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |