Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Coyle 50.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 54.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 51.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Lowry
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
52.3% (811)
+3.1%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
44.3% (61)
+39.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
44.8% (181)
-4.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Lowry
Coyle
Home
54.5% (402)
49.0% (537)
Away
53.3% (368)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Lowry
Coyle
P1
52.4%
48.7%
P2
56.0%
49.6%
P3
54.2%
53.1%
OT
40.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |