Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Coyle 51.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 76.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 53.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 63.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Lowry
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Lowry
Coyle
Last 10: Lowry 9-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Coyle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Coyle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
53.0% (1,046)
-3.7%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
57.6% (144)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
43.6% (287)
-1.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Home / Away
Lowry
Coyle
Home
50.2% (671)
54.5% (719)
Away
47.8% (709)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Lowry
Coyle
P1
48.4%
51.1%
P2
50.1%
50.0%
P3
47.8%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |