Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Coyle 52.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 72.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 52.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Lowry
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Coyle
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Lowry
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
52.7% (849)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
66.7% (39)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
48.1% (131)
-8.1%
On power play, Coyle has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Lowry
Coyle
Home
52.4% (597)
53.3% (512)
Away
48.4% (583)
51.9% (507)
By Period
Lowry
Coyle
P1
48.5%
53.8%
P2
52.2%
47.8%
P3
50.5%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |